BioBucks Newsletter
BioBucks
 
Subscribe (Free)
 

Upfront Briefing

Pricing headlines did the rounds: Takeda flagged expected Medicare negotiations for Entyvio, while the TrumpRx launch event was postponed.

Deal tape stayed hot: AstraZeneca’s CSPC obesity pact ($1.2B upfront + milestones) re-anchors “metabolic comps,” and Vaxcyte’s $550M follow-on reinforced that capital is still available for premium clinical-stage stories.

Tape Action

Instrument Last close 1D % YTD %
S&P 500 6,969.0 (0.1%) +1.8%
Nasdaq 100 25,884.3 (0.5%) +2.5%
Russell 2000 2,654.8 +0.1% +7.0%
XBI (Biotech ETF) 126.7 +0.6% +3.9%
Nasdaq Biotech 5,911.7 +0.3% +3.6%
Clinical Trials ETF (BBC) 41.5 +0.1% +7.6%
  • Biotech outperformed as mega-cap tech dragged indices: XBI +0.6% vs Nasdaq 100 (0.5%).
  • Investor read-through: a classic “rotation day” — defensives/healthcare caught a bid while rate-sensitive growth cooled, and biotech benefited from steady deal/financing tape.
  • Market data: U.S. close Thu 29-Jan-2026.

The Big 3

1
Takeda anticipates Medicare negotiations for Entyvio
  • Takeda expects Medicare negotiations for its top-selling drug Entyvio, while also expressing disfavor for Trump's MFN deals. The TrumpRx launch event was postponed.
  • Why it matters: Entyvio is a flagship cash-flow asset — any Medicare negotiation pathway increases long-dated pricing overhang and can pull forward investor focus to (i) gross-to-net sensitivity, (ii) contracting strategy, and (iii) lifecycle defense as policy rules evolve.
  • Source: Endpoints
  • More: Endpoints; Endpoints
2
Vaxcyte prices $550M public offering
  • Vaxcyte priced a $550M public offering (common + pre-funded warrants), a clear signal the follow-on window remains open for high-quality clinical-stage stories.
  • Why it matters: This is runway + risk management: a raise of this size can extend cash through key clinical catalysts and reduces near-term “financing overhang” — often supportive of valuation multiples across the cohort when the window is open.
  • Source: PR
  • More: PR
3
AstraZeneca inks mega obesity/metabolic licensing deal with CSPC
  • AstraZeneca struck a major licensing pact with CSPC for obesity/metabolic assets: $1.2B upfront plus up to $17.3B in milestones (development + sales; economics vary by package reporting).
  • Why it matters: This is a “category signal” deal: big upfronts in obesity re-anchor private and public comps, intensify competition for differentiated dosing/convenience profiles, and reinforce that Big Pharma will pay to buy its way into next-wave metabolic assets.
  • Source: Reuters
  • More: Fierce Biotech

Everything Else that broke

  • Sanofi expects vaccine sales growth to dip amid a "challenging environment." — BioPharma Dive
  • AstraZeneca plans a $15B investment to strengthen ties in China, with venture bets and dealmaking as key features. — BioPharma Dive
  • Summit gets a November PDUFA date for its PD-1xVEGF bispecific. — Endpoints
  • FDA places clinical holds on Regenxbio's MPS gene therapy programs (RGX-111 and RGX-121) after a CNS tumor finding — impacts the near-term RGX-121 decision timeline. — Fierce Biotech
  • Sanofi abandons its bid to make an mRNA flu vaccine. — Fierce Biotech

Deal Flow

M&A / BD&L

  • AstraZeneca ↔ CSPC: obesity/metabolic licensing deal — $1.2B upfront plus up to $17.3B milestones. — Reuters
  • Recordati ↔ Moderna: global mRNA-3927 (propionic acidemia) collaboration — $50M upfront plus milestones/royalties. — PR
  • Lilly ↔ Repertoire: up to ~$1.93B autoimmune alliance ($85M upfront). — Reuters
  • Formation Bio licenses miR-124 activator for autoimmune diseases in a deal up to $500M. — PR
  • Gameto licenses foundational meiosis IP from Harvard to advance its human ovary-in-a-dish platform. — PR
  • Ardena divests its Södertälje drug substance site to Nanologica. — PR

VC / Private Financings

  • Breakthru Medicine closes a $60M Series A (oncology). — PR
  • Tenpoint raises $85M Series B (led by Janus Henderson Investors; participation from EQT Nexus, Hillhouse Investment, British Business Bank) plus a $150M debt facility (Hercules Capital) to support Yuvezzi launch. — PR

IPOs / Follow-Ons

  • Agomab targets up to ~$212.5M in a US IPO (fibrostenosing Crohn's). — Reuters
  • Vaxcyte prices a $550M public offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants. — PR
  • Lexicon prices a ~$94.6M public offering and concurrent private placement. — PR
That’s it — no more “up to” until Monday. BioBucks Team