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Upfront Briefing

Candel led the weekend tape with extended phase 3 follow-up in localized prostate cancer ahead of a Q4 BLA, while Aardvark landed on the wrong side of the agency with a full clinical hold on its lead Prader-Willi asset.

The wider mood was hardly serene: acting CDER chief Tracy Beth Høeg was fired Friday days after Makary's exit, leaving five different people running CDER inside 15 months and pushing the FDA-volatility premium back into biotech multiples.

Tape Action

Instrument Last close 1D % YTD %
S&P 500 7,408.5 (1.2%) +8.0%
Nasdaq 100 29,125.2 (1.5%) +15.5%
Russell 2000 2,793.3 (2.4%) +11.4%
Healthcare (XLV) 145.1 (1.0%) (6.7%)
Biotech (XBI) 130.7 (3.1%) +7.5%
Nasdaq Biotech (NBI) 5,825.5 (2.7%) +2.1%
Clinical Trials (BBC) 42.4 (3.7%) +12.8%
  • Macro risk-off drove the tape: Brent +3.3% to ~$109 on Iran tensions, 10-year Treasury yields punched to 1-year highs, and traders fully priced out 2026 Fed cuts after a hot CPI print earlier in the week.
  • Biotech took the higher-beta hit: XBI -3.1% and small-cap clinical names (BBC -3.7%) underperformed XLV (-1.0%) by ~2 points, compounded by Aardvark's ~30% slide on the FDA clinical hold.
  • Market data: U.S. close Fri 15-May-2026.

The Big 3

1
Candel reports extended follow-up benefit in prostate cancer
  • At AUA, Candel (CADL) reported extended phase 3 follow-up for aglatimagene besadenovec (CAN-2409) + standard-of-care EBRT in intermediate-to-high-risk localized prostate cancer, including a 90% reduction in time-to-metastasis vs placebo in the intermediate-risk subgroup (85% of the trial).
  • Why it matters: CAN-2409 carries an SPA, RMAT and Fast Track and Candel has guided to a Q4 2026 BLA — durability + a clean metastasis signal tightens PoS into filing and re-rates the rNPV on a localized prostate franchise with no approved adenoviral immunotherapy comp.
  • Source: Endpoints
  • More: PR
2
Aardvark clinical hold triggers setback in Prader-Willi program
  • FDA placed a full clinical hold on Aardvark's (AARD) lead asset ARD-101 — an oral bitter-taste receptor agonist that stimulates endogenous GLP-1 and CCK — escalating February's voluntary pause after reversible cardiac signals in a healthy-volunteer study. The phase 3 HERO trial (68 dosed) and OLE (19 dosed) in PWS hyperphagia are halted; Aardvark will unblind data to inform next steps. Stock closed -30% Friday.
  • Why it matters: $91.2M cash funds operations into mid-2027, but the binary now shifts from peak sales to whether unblinded efficacy is strong enough to negotiate hold removal. PWS is a derisked commercial backdrop — Soleno's Vyktat is the only approved hyperphagia drug and Neurocrine bought Soleno ~12 months post-launch — but ARD-101 needs a defensible cardiac safety story before the bid floor reappears.
  • Source: BioPharma Dive
  • More: Endpoints
3
Acting CDER chief Høeg fired days after Makary's exit
  • Tracy Beth Høeg — a vaccine and antidepressant skeptic elevated to acting CDER head in December — was fired Friday, six months into the role, per her own X post; deputy Mike Davis is now acting CDER director. She becomes the fifth person to run CDER in the 15 months of the current administration.
  • Why it matters: CDER signs off on every NDA/BLA — turnover at the top of the division reviewing small molecules and biologics directly raises timing risk for PDUFA dates, advisory committee scheduling and Type B/C meetings. With Makary, Høeg and the CDC director all gone inside a week and CBER also unfilled, the FDA volatility premium hits cell/gene therapy, rare disease and any name with a 2H26 catalyst hardest.
  • Source: Endpoints
  • More: Reuters/US News; Endpoints (Makary recap)

Everything Else that broke

  • JASCAYD wins approval in Japan for IPF and PPF. — PR
  • Datar Cancer Genetics gets FDA clearance for CellDx-Tissue. — PR
  • Novartis sees PSA-progression benefit for Pluvicto. — PR
  • ImPact Biotech reports phase 3 ENLIGHTED data. — PR

Deal Flow

BioBucks 2026 Deal Trackers • Updated weekly ⬇️
M&A IPO BD&L VC

M&A / BD&L

  • Lotte Biologics expanded its CDMO manufacturing agreement with UK-based Ottimo Pharma covering OTP-01, a PD-1/VEGFR2 biparatopic antibody for oncology; commercial process development at Lotte's Syracuse Bio Campus. — PR
  • NeuroVision Imaging acquired fellow diagnostics player Durin Life Sciences (Duritect blood-based biomarker tests for Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, ALS) for undisclosed terms; Ric Edelman (Durin majority owner) joins the board. — Fierce Biotech

VC / Private Financings

  • CellCentric raised $220M in a Series D to fund a pivotal Phase 3 myeloma trial for inobrodib in 2H26; syndicate included Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners, Pfizer, Fidelity, Sofinnova, RA Capital and Forbion. — BioSpace

IPOs / Follow-Ons

  • No new biotech IPOs or material follow-ons priced over the weekend.

Academic Corner

  • Addition of autologous stem-cell transplantation to an ibrutinib-containing first-line treatment in patients aged 18–65 years with mantle cell lymphoma (TRIANGLE): 4·5-year follow-up of a three-arm, randomised, open-label, phase 3 superiority trial of the European MCL Network. — Lancet
  • End of transplantation's reign in mantle cell lymphoma. — Lancet
That’s it for today — may your follow-up stay durable and your regulators stay put. BioBucks Team