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Upfront Briefing

Novo Nordisk’s oral Wegovy is showing strong early prescription uptake just two weeks after launch — a quick reminder that “oral” is a feature, not a footnote.

Sanofi is still planning an FDA filing for amlitelimab in eczema despite mixed Phase 3 results, opting for regulatory reps over a redo.

And Merck reportedly walked from a $25B+ Revolution Medicines bid over price — a reminder that even in "must-buy" oncology, megacap buyers are staying disciplined.

Tape Action

Instrument Last close 1D % YTD %
S&P 500 6,915.6 0.0% +1.0%
Nasdaq 100 25,605.5 +0.3% +1.4%
Russell 2000 2,669.2 (1.8%) +7.5%
XBI (Biotech ETF) 128.0 (2.7%) +5.0%
Nasdaq Biotech 5,936.7 (1.4%) +4.0%
Clinical Trials ETF (BBC) 42.8 (2.6%) +10.9%
  • Risk appetite narrowed into a catalyst-heavy week: small caps sold off (Russell (1.8%)) while megacap tech held up (Nasdaq 100 +0.3%).
  • Biotech underperformed on the same "risk-off" impulse: XBI (2.7%) and NBI (1.4%) vs S&P flat.
  • Market data: U.S. close Jan 23, 2026.

The Big 3

1
Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy shows strong early uptake
  • Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy pill is seeing strong early prescription uptake just two weeks after its market launch, according to analysts.
  • Why it matters: Early script velocity de-risks the "oral convenience" thesis and pulls forward the key debate for investors: how quickly payers cover, how much injectable Wegovy is cannibalized vs expanded demand, and what it implies for competitive timelines in oral incretins (especially as next-gen oral assets try to justify premium valuation on differentiation).
  • Source: Endpoints
  • More: Fierce Pharma; BioPharma Dive
2
Sanofi plans FDA filing for eczema drug despite mixed data
  • Sanofi intends to seek FDA approval for amlitelimab in eczema, despite reporting mixed results from its Phase 3 trials.
  • Why it matters: This is a high-stakes "regulatory strategy" tell: Sanofi is trying to convert mixed Phase 3s into a label anyway, because amlitelimab is part of the post-Dupixent immunology growth narrative. For investors, the swing factors are label breadth, differentiation vs entrenched AD standards, and whether a constrained label forces a slower/cheaper launch curve than the Street is underwriting.
  • Source: BioPharma Dive
  • More: Endpoints; BioSpace
3
Merck reportedly ends Revolution Medicines deal talks
  • Merck is reportedly no longer in talks to acquire Revolution Medicines after a price disagreement, per WSJ (via Reuters).
  • Why it matters: This is a sentiment read for 2026 M&A: even in "must-buy" oncology, mega-cap buyers appear price-disciplined. It also warns investors not to underwrite rumor premiums as durable comps — particularly ahead of RVMD's upcoming clinical catalysts.
  • Source: Reuters
  • More: WSJ

Everything Else that broke

  • FDA accepts LEQEMBI subcutaneous sBLA for early Alzheimer's under Priority Review. — PR
  • Moderna alters vaccine trial plans due to anti-vaccine sentiment and policy changes. — Fierce Pharma
  • ACIP chair comments spark scrutiny after vaccine schedule change. — Endpoints
  • Bausch Health's Xifaxan successor fails Phase 3 trial. — Fierce Pharma
  • EU launches pilot (FAST-EU) to speed multinational clinical trial starts. — Endpoints
  • Priority review voucher program debate continues, with a report suggesting rare disease biotechs could lose $4B if it's not reinstated. — BioSpace
  • Congress and insurers clash over healthcare consolidation and affordability. — BioPharma Dive
  • F2G outlines FDA resubmission plans for olorofim after Phase 3 data. — Endpoints
  • Novartis CEO discusses expanding presence in RNAi, with de-risking as a core mantra. — BioCentury
  • Ilona Reischl re-elected as EMA CAT chair. — EMA

Deal Flow

M&A / BD&L

  • Process update: Merck is reportedly no longer in talks to buy Revolution Medicines after a price disagreement (per WSJ/Reuters). — Reuters / WSJ
  • ST Pharm inks $56M API manufacturing deal for a US biotech's oligonucleotide treatment. — Fierce Pharma
  • Reporting suggests Lilly was the only pharma bidder for Ventyx. — Endpoints

VC / Private Financings

  • Quiet weekend on disclosed private rounds (no major new financings vs Friday's tape). If you saw one we missed, reply — we'll add it to the tracker.

IPOs / Follow-Ons

  • Corvus closes upsized public offering (gross proceeds ~ $201M) with full exercise of underwriters' option. — PR
  • Erasca closes upsized public offering of common stock. — PR
  • Strong follow-on demand may signal IPO appetite. — BioCentury

Academic Corner

  • Quiet weekend on new translational reads — we’ll be back when the journals drop something spicy.
That’s it — back tomorrow. Oral pills flex; buyers… less so. — BioBucks Team