BioBucks Newsletter
BioBucks
 
Subscribe (Free)
 

Upfront Briefing

Two very normal ways to kick off April: Lilly agreed to acquire Centessa in a deal worth up to $7.8B around its orexin pipeline, and Biogen struck a $5.6B deal for Apellis to add commercial rare-disease assets in nephrology and ophthalmology.

And just to make sure large-cap pharma didn’t leave any dry powder idle, Merck also added antibody-discovery optionality in a new up-to-$838M pact with Infinimmune — another reminder that headline M&A and steady BD&L are running in parallel.

Tape Action

Instrument Last close 1D % YTD %
S&P 500 6,528.5 +2.9% (4.6%)
Nasdaq 100 23,740.2 +3.4% (5.8%)
Russell 2000 2,496.4 +3.4% +0.6%
Healthcare (XLV) 146.6 +1.9% (5.3%)
Biotech (XBI) 127.7 +7.5% +5.1%
Nasdaq Biotech (NBI) 5,839.4 +4.6% +2.3%
Clinical Trials (BBC) 41.6 +7.7% +10.6%
  • Broad risk rallied hard as hopes of Middle East de-escalation and a pullback in oil prices eased the market’s inflation/growth scare, lifting the S&P 500 +2.9% and Russell 2000 +3.4%.
  • Biotech beta outperformed the tape: XBI +7.5% and BBC +7.7% ripped as Lilly/Centessa and Biogen/Apellis reinforced the scarcity-value and takeout optionality bid across small- and mid-cap biotech.
  • Market data: U.S. close Tue 31-Mar-2026.

The Big 3

1
Lilly agrees up-to-$7.8B Centessa deal; orexin optionality in focus
  • Lilly agreed to acquire Centessa in a deal worth up to $7.8B, paying $38/share in cash plus a $9/share CVR tied to future milestones. The strategic center of gravity is cleminorexton and Centessa’s broader orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio, extending Lilly into sleep-wake disorders beyond its current metabolic leadership.
  • Why it matters: This is not just another takeout premium — it is a real valuation marker for orexin biology. Lilly is underwriting mid-stage clinical risk in narcolepsy/idiopathic hypersomnia and paying for platform optionality beyond the first indication, which raises the bar for how public markets should think about other OX2R names. For investors, the read-through is that differentiated CNS assets with credible human efficacy signals can still clear at multi-billion-dollar values even before pivotal data.
  • Source: Reuters
2
Biogen to buy Apellis in $5.6B rare-disease franchise push
  • Biogen agreed to acquire Apellis for roughly $5.6B, paying $41/share in cash plus up to $4/share in CVRs tied to future Syfovre sales thresholds. The deal adds Empaveli in nephrology/hematology and Syfovre in ophthalmology, with the two products generating $689M of 2025 revenue.
  • Why it matters: Biogen is buying commercial assets, not blue-sky science. Empaveli strengthens its nephrology call point ahead of late-stage felzartamab, while Syfovre gives it a second growth engine with milestone-linked upside. For investors, that makes this a cleaner revenue-durability plus franchise-adjacency transaction than the current copy implies — and a reminder that de-risked rare-disease and specialty assets can still command full strategic prices even after operating turbulence.
  • Source: Reuters
3
Merck adds antibody-discovery optionality in up-to-$838M Infinimmune pact
  • Merck entered a multi-target antibody discovery and development collaboration with Infinimmune worth up to about $838M in milestones, extending the company’s recent March deal streak beyond outright M&A.
  • Why it matters: The investor signal is capital allocation discipline. After buying Terns and amid persistent externalization needs ahead of Keytruda LOE, Merck is still using sub-scale discovery deals to seed future pipeline shots on goal without taking full balance-sheet risk upfront. That supports the read-through that large-cap pharma is likely to keep layering BD&L on top of headline M&A rather than treating the two as substitutes.
  • Source: Reuters

Everything Else that broke

  • HHS unveils MANA plan. — BioCentury
  • AskBio completes enrollment in Phase 2 GenePHIT study of AB-1002 in non-ischemic cardiomyopathy / NYHA class III heart failure. — PR
  • Abbisko’s irpagratinib wins EMA orphan designation in HCC. — PR
  • ORIC selects rinzimetostat RP3D for darolutamide combo in Himalayas-1. — PR
  • Caris finalizes ACHIEVE-1 results for Caris Detect. — PR
  • Zag Bio profile highlights thymus platform and recent $80M Series A. — BioCentury
  • AstraZeneca’s Strensiq successor misses a Phase 3 rare-disease goal, denting expansion hopes. — Fierce Biotech

Deal Flow

BioBucks 2026 Deal Trackers • Updated weekly ⬇️
M&A IPO BD&L VC

M&A / BD&L

  • Biogen to buy Apellis in roughly $5.6B cash-and-CVR deal, adding Empaveli and Syfovre. — Reuters
  • Lilly to buy Centessa for $38/share cash plus a $9 CVR, valuing the deal at up to $7.8B around its orexin pipeline. — Reuters
  • Merck signs up-to-$838M multi-target antibody discovery pact with Infinimmune. — Reuters
  • NJ Bio, Ajinomoto Bio-Pharma Services team up on ADC development support. — PR

VC / Private Financings

  • Ambrosia Biosciences raised an oversubscribed $100M Series B to advance an oral small-molecule GLP-1 into the clinic; co-led by Blue Owl Healthcare Opportunities, Redmile and Deep Track Capital, with BVF Partners, Boulder Ventures, Janus Henderson Investors and Samsara BioCapital also participating. — Fierce Biotech

IPOs / Follow-Ons

  • Biotech IPOs rebound as AI takes bigger role in R&D. — BioSpace

Things that make you go hmmm ...

Source: Google Finance. Centessa and Apellis one-day moves below.

Chart / visual from Google Finance
 
Chart / visual from Google Finance
That’s it for today — if your Q2 started with two multi-billion takeouts, please forward this email to your board. See you tomorrow. BioBucks Team